When Not to Trade cover

When Not to Trade

Decision-making under uncertainty

Edition No. 3 · Revision 1.0 · Jan 2026

Description

When Not to Trade is a collection of essays on restraint, timing, and the discipline of inaction.

The essays explore why knowing when not to act is often more valuable than knowing when to act.

There are no predictions, signals, or frameworks. Only observations on decision-making when the right move is no move at all.

What this edition contains

  • 12 standalone essays
  • Long-form, text-only format
  • Written to be read slowly and revisited

Sample edition

A sample edition is available and includes:

  • Introduction
  • About SwapHunt
  • Essay 1: The Cost of Acting Too Soon
  • Full table of contents (titles only)

Full edition

The full edition contains all essays listed in the table of contents.

Reader notes

"The hardest book to apply because it asks you to do less. But the framework for recognizing when conditions don't fit has saved me from several bad entries."
— K.N., discretionary trader
"Short, focused, no padding. The essay on opportunity cost of premature commitment should be required reading."
— S.W., portfolio manager
"I've read dozens of trading books. This is the first one that made sitting out feel like a real skill instead of a failure."
— L.B., independent trader

These texts are not updated frequently. They are intended to age quietly.