Structure before signals
SwapHunt studies liquidity, behavior, and structural patterns inside crypto markets. The goal is not prediction. The goal is to understand why markets move the way they do.
Reading markets instead of predicting them.
If you're trying to understand how markets actually behave:
Start here if you want to see how structure plays out in real markets.
Daily Note · 12 Jul: Fear Persists While Structure Holds
BTC traded flat above its 20-EMA in a confirmed bullish regime while Fear & Greed sat at 26 - a gap between price behavior and stated sentiment that the last 24 hours didn't close.
Read article →Articles
If you want to see the ideas applied in real markets, start here.
Long-form observations on market structure, trading psychology, and behavior patterns. Written to explain, not to persuade.
Browse articles →Frameworks
If you're new, this is where the model starts.
SwapHunt is built around a simple idea: make the same decision the same way every time. Context over conclusions, structure over noise.
Read about the approach →Latest articles
If you're browsing, these are recent notes:
Daily Note · 12 Jul: Fear Persists While Structure Holds
BTC traded flat above its 20-EMA in a confirmed bullish regime while Fear & Greed sat at 26 - a gap between price behavior and stated sentiment that the last 24 hours didn't close.
~6 min readXRP Slips to $1.09 as Fear Grips Markets Despite Bitcoin's Strength
XRP fell 4.08% this week to $1.0930, diverging from Bitcoin's strength as extreme fear grips the broader market. Support and resistance levels frame the path ahead.
~6 min readRealized vs Unrealized Volatility: Why Traders Get Caught Off Guard
Realized volatility measures what already happened. Implied volatility prices what the market expects. The gap between them is where traders get blindsided.
~2 min readDaily Note · 10 Jul: Consolidation Meets New Entry Points
Bitcoin pressed toward three-week highs from inside its third-longest consolidation on record, while regulatory approvals in the US and Japan quietly widened the on-ramps into crypto.
~6 min readHow Liquidation Cascades Work: When Risk Begets Risk
Liquidation cascades happen when forced selling from leveraged positions pushes price into the next cluster of liquidations, creating a mechanical chain reaction rather than a panic-driven one.
~2 min readDaily Note · 9 Jul: Rails Rebuilt, Demand Didn't
Infrastructure kept compounding - Swift's bank pilot, LayerZero's exodus to Chainlink CCIP - while Bitcoin ETF flows posted another net outflow and sentiment stayed pinned in extreme fear.
SwapHunt evolves quietly.
Most readers don’t read this once.
They return to it over time.
The weekly note
One note a week on where structure and sentiment diverge. No signals, no shilling.