When Not to Trade

When Not to Trade

The discipline of sitting out

About this tag

A liquidation is what happens when a leveraged position runs out of collateral. The exchange does not ask permission and does not wait to see if price recovers. Once unrealized loss eats through the maintenance margin, the position is closed automatically at market - a forced sell on longs, a forced buy on shorts. The trader is removed from the trade. What looks like a decision from the outside is just margin math executing on schedule.

The reason liquidations matter beyond the single account is that they cluster. Traders open similar positions at similar leverage, and their liquidation prices land in a narrow band below or above current price. When price drifts into that band, the first forced close hits the book, moves price, and brings the next position to its threshold. Each closure produces the order flow that triggers the one after it. This is the cascade - mechanical, not emotional, and faster than any human can step in front of.

This tag collects notes on the forced-selling side of market structure. The step-by-step mechanics of how a cascade unfolds. Why crypto cascades without circuit breakers. How short squeezes run the same chain reaction in reverse. How DeFi liquidation auctions hand the work to incentivized bots racing for a bounty. And why leverage destroys most traders not through carelessness but through the asymmetry of a hard floor at zero.

The framing is structural. A liquidation is not a verdict on whether a trade was right — positions that would have been correct in 48 hours get closed in 6. These notes document where liquidation levels stack, what triggers them, and why price gaps through them rather than stopping politely.